ED MCGROGAN, SENIOR EDITOR: Garbine Muguruza

The Spaniard is an overwhelming favorite to win her third career major title, and her first U.S. Open. Not to the degree that an in-form Serena Williams has been at Slams, but Muguruza is playing the best tennis of her career, and every other player in the Top 10 has serious questions.

NINA PANTIC, ASSOCIATE EDITOR: Simona Halep

At some point, it just has to happen. She’s been one match away from becoming world No. 1 on three occasions, and one win away becoming a Grand Slam champion twice. She’s paid her dues, put in her hours and kept her cool for long enough. Despite a lopsided loss to Muguruza in the Cincinnati final, Halep has been one of the most consistent players this summer. She was unlucky to draw Maria Sharapova in her opener, but the Russian has barely played since her April tour return.

BRAD KALLET, ONLINE EDITOR: Karolina Pliskova

Muguruza probably comes in as the favorite, but I don’t think she’s consistent enough to win two consecutive Slams. The world No. 1 reached the final here last year, and she won’t have Serena or an in-form Angelique Kerber in her way this time around. Pliskova will take home her first career major.

STEVE TIGNOR, SENIOR WRITER: Garbine Muguruza

She’s never been past the second round at Flushing Meadows, and her path includes an assortment of obstacles, including Petra Kvitova, Venus Williams and Caroline Wozniacki. But no one has found a way to stop Muguruza when her game is clicking—and recently, it’s been clicking pretty regularly on the big stages.

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MCGROGAN: Daria Gavrilova

How much stock should we put into tournaments held directly before a major? Gavrilova is into the final four in New Haven, and when she eventually takes the Merritt Parkway south to New York, she'll travel with confidence. But will fatigue hold her back once she arrives? Maybe in the second week, but I think she'll at least get that far.

PANTIC: CiCi Bellis

The darling of the 2014 Open is now the darling of American tennis. The 18-year-old just missed out on getting a seed, and will be more than comfortable in front of a crowd that is eager to see her go further than a career-best third-round appearance. This superstar career is only just beginning.

KALLET: Julia Goerges

The German has never had much success in Flushing Meadows, but she impressed in the tournaments leading up to the Open. She reached the final in Washington and, two weeks later, ousted Agnieszka Radwanska and Elina Svitolina in Cincinnati. She can beat anyone when she’s on, and she’s riding some momentum into New York.

TIGNOR: Sloane Stephens

Stephens is about as dangerous as a non-seed can be. After returning from foot surgery, she looked like a new, calmer and more focused player as she recorded wins over Kerber, Kvitova, Ekaterina Makarova and Lucie Safarova. Sloane plays Roberta Vinci first, but her draw makes a deep run plausible.

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2017 US Open Expert Picks: The Women

2017 US Open Expert Picks: The Women

Click here for our Expert Picks on the men's draw.

MCGROGAN: Angelique Kerber

As title defenses go, Kerber’s feels rather tame. She’s had a dreadful follow-up season to her two-major breakthrough, which feels more like a decade ago than only a year. Naomi Osaka is a tricky first-round test, and her quarter includes hard hitters Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko. It only gets tougher from there.

PANTIC: Angelique Kerber

A lot can change in a year, as Kerber has found out the hard way. Despite some signs of regaining her form, the German has sputtered out of tournaments too often. An unlucky draw won't help matters—Kerber opens against Japanese powerhouse Osaka, and is in the same section as French Open champion Ostapenko.

KALLET: Simona Halep

Sharapova, Halep's marquee first-round opponent, hasn’t played since Stanford, and her last Grand Slam appearance was at the 2016 Australian Open. Still, this is a brutal opener for the Romanian, who’s had an excellent but heartbreaking season. Halep will have to work harder than all the other top seeds at the outset if she wants to change that.

TIGNOR: Johanna Konta

The Brit has never been past the fourth round at the U.S. Open, and a hangover from her high-profile run to the Wimbledon semifinals last month seems possible. She went just 2-2 in the North American lead-up events this summer.

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2017 US Open Expert Picks: The Women

2017 US Open Expert Picks: The Women

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