The first major upset of Wimbledon 2018 may also go down as the least surprising.

Sloane Stephens began the day ranked 51 spots higher than her opponent, Donna Vekic. The American had won their only previous meeting, and she was coming off a run to the French Open final that seemed, along with her win at the US Open in 2017, to solidify her place in the WTA’s upper echelon.

But this is the time of year, as the players move from a clay major to a grass major in the space of three weeks, when nothing stays solid for long. For those who found their footing on dirt in Paris, things can get very slippery, very fast on the London turf. It took just 71 minutes for Stephens to fall out of Wimbledon to Vekic, 6-1, 6-3.

“The ball stays low here and you have to make adjustments,” Stephens said. “My feet were a little bit slow, and my adjustment steps weren’t there.”

WATCH—Match point from Vekic's win over Stephens:

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Stephens said she had a “‘good training block” after the French Open—“I did more than I would normally do.” But she didn’t play any grass-court tune-up events; that’s something she says she’ll consider changing in the future, and you could see why today.

At Roland Garros, Stephens was able to win with a rope-a-dope style. She used her speed to defend, and her strength to counterpunch judiciously. Until the second set of the final, no one could lay a glove on her. It was the same game that Stephens used to win the Open last year, but it’s not a game that’s custom-made for Wimbledon. The grass there may not be as slick or as unpredictable as it once was, but as Stephens can attest, the ball still stays low and skids through the court more quickly than other places. No matter how fast Sloane is, grass doesn’t give her a lot of time to bob and weave.

In that sense, Vekic was one of the toughest draws she could have had in the first two rounds. The Croatian likes grass: She won the title in Nottingham last year, and in 2016 and 2017 she pushed two top players, Venus Williams and Johanna Konta, before losing.

“She hits flat, and has a decent serve,” Stephens said of Vekic. “All her shots stay low.” The matchup was, Sloane said, “unfortunate.”

Vekic had been the better player for most of her second-round match against Konta last year. She had used her “decent” serve—it’s actually pretty strong—to hold consistently, and had mixed her speeds well from the ground; no matter how many winners the long-limbed Vekic hits, the next one always comes as a surprise.

The problem wasn’t her game; it was her self-belief. Instead of growing more confident with each winner, her success only seemed to lead to more doubts. The better Vekic did during the points, the more hesitant and pensive she became between them. Finally, at 8-8 in the third set, her doubts overwhelmed her game.

Vekic said she had her losses to Williams and Konta in her mind as she inched closer to victory against Stephens; she didn’t want to fall short a third time. But she was clearly the sharper player today. Despite the swirling wind on Court 1, Vekic won points with heavy serves, deep returns, brilliant backhand passing shots, and again, those forehand winners that come from nowhere. While it took Vekic four match points—and a few nervy ground strokes which she pulled up on—she broke Stephens at 5-3 in the second, and avoided having to come back out and serve for it.

“She played a good match,” Stephens said, “and it was a tough day for me.”

DAILY SERVE—Recapping Wimbledon's first day of play

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Following up a big result with an early exit has become a habit for Stephens. After reaching the semifinals at the Australian Open in 2013, she struggled to win a match. The same thing happened last fall, when she lost eight straight after winning the US Open. According to Sloane, though, while some of her tour-mates “overreact” after a bad defeat and change their coaches and their routines, she tries to think long-term, rather than week by week.

“It’s a long season, and you’re not going to win every match,” Stephens said. “You have to move forward.”

“I don’t hang onto things very long.”

For Stephens, that attitude is as much a matter of professional necessity as it is a chosen philosophy. She said today that the longer she worries about a Wimbledon defeat, the harder it will be to produce a good result in Cincinnati, and, more importantly, when she defends her US Open title.

By now, Sloane knows that she’s going to get knocked down over the course of a season. But like any other Grand Slam champion, she also knows that, sooner or later, she’s going to get back up.

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Big-name upset not a big surprise: On Donna Vekic's win over Stephens

Big-name upset not a big surprise: On Donna Vekic's win over Stephens

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