Andreeva, 17, is through to her second career WTA singles final, and first at WTA 500 level.

On Friday, February 21, Mirra Andreeva will take on Elena Rybakina in the semifinals of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. Andreeva has never reached a 1000-level final, so there will be a good amount of pressure on the 17-year-old. But Andreeva has already proven that she can block out the noise, and it feels like she’s due for a massive result soon. Perhaps she’ll get it here.

Andreeva is fresh off a thorough, 6-3, 6-3 beatdown of Iga Swiatek in the quarterfinals. The teenager has now reached this stage of the tournament without dropping a set, and it’s hard not to like her chances against Rybakina.

Of course, I had Sofia Kenin to win a set against Rybakina on Thursday, and I don’t necessarily love the idea of getting beaten by the same player two matches in a row. However, Kenin had some openings to win that second set, and she might have done so had she been a little sharper. And Andreeva’s reliability factor is a heck of a lot higher than that of Kenin.

Rybakina’s first serve is always going to give her a chance to win matches, which is why she’s an elite player. But Andreeva is sixth on the WTA Tour in break percentage (41.3%) over the last 52 weeks, so she should be able to get a bunch of returns back and reset points to neutral. She will also likely outperform Rybakina in longer rallies, as she’s quicker, has a better understanding of how to cover the court—and possesses the biggest weapon on this court: her backhand.

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Andreeva also happens to be improving her weaknesses rapidly. Her hold percentage is up from 67.6% in 2024 to 73.6% in 2025, and we have seen her serve hold up in some big matchups already. Andreeva is also hitting her forehand extremely well. Those shots were holding her back a bit earlier in her career, but she has packed on some muscle and removed some of the holes in her game.

We have seen instances of Andreeva being bullied by some of the stronger, top-tier players in the past—her head-to-head history with Aryna Sabalenka is a bit of a nightmare—but Sabalenka is a physical specimen, capable of overpowering anybody when she’s hitting her spots. Rybakina’s skill set isn’t exactly the same. She does have the big first serve, but she’s not nearly as intimidating as a baseliner.

Andreeva has also had some success against Rybakina before. In 2023, she pushed her to a decider in a 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 loss. And in December, Andreeva won an exhibition against her, taking the one-set match 6-2 in World Tennis League action. Simply put, the 17-year-old should know that her best level is enough to take down this very opponent. And it’s fair to expect that level given everything we’ve seen in Dubai.

Pick: Andreeva ML (+100)