On Tuesday, June 4, Ons Jabeur faces Coco Gauff for a spot in the semifinals at Roland Garros. The last time these two played, Gauff beat Jabeur to a pulp, earning a 6-0, 6-1 win at the 2023 WTA Finals. But that tournament was played during a stretch in which Jabeur was nowhere near her top level. A lot of things factored into Jabeur experiencing a significant drop-off, but the world No. 9 has won eight of her last 11 matches and is starting to look like the player that was a three-time Grand Slam runner-up. With that in mind, I think the oddsmakers are offering an extremely favorable price on Jabeur to simply win a set here.
You can currently get Jabeur at plus-money odds to win a set in the quarters, and that almost seems too good to be true. When Jabeur was at the very peak of her powers, she was right below the tier that includes Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina. Well, she’s looking very close to playing at that level again, and that’s right around where I’d put Gauff in the women’s game. I just don’t think there’s much that separates these two, especially with the way Gauff has played in 2024.