Over the first 10 days of 2017, we're examining the Top 10 players on the ATP and WTA tours—how will they fare during the new season?. All of the previews can be found here.

Twelve years after joining the tour, and seven years after reaching No. 2, how will Andy Murray react to becoming No. 1 at age 29? Over time, being the hunter rather than the hunted can wear a player down—just ask Novak Djokovic. At first, though, I don’t think Murray will look or act or play much differently than he has in the past. He’s a pro’s pro who keeps his eye on the task in front of him.

Murray has been the Big Four’s tortoise. He was the last to win a Slam, the last to become No. 1 and the last to master the clay game; he didn’t win a tournament on dirt until he was 27. But he has never stopped expanding his horizons. Last year, Murray won in Rome, Beijing, Bercy and at London’t O2 Arena for the first time, and he reached his first French Open final. The question now is, in a year in which he turns 30, can he continue his slow, steady improvement, or come close to matching his 78-9, nine-title annus mirabilis of 2016?

Recent history points in two directions: While Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Djokovic all experienced a dip in their play as they approached 30, Stan Wawrinka made his Grand Slam breakthrough around that age, and has done it twice since. As in the past, Murray’s future will depend heavily on the success of his most famous colleagues.

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Federer and Nadal have stood in Murray’s way at countless big events over the years, but they’ll both be returning from season-ending injuries in 2017. Djokovic is an even bigger question mark. While Murray finally passed him for No. 1 last year, the Scot has lost 13 of his last 16 to the Serb. If Djokovic’s slump continues into 2017, that’s good news for Murray. But the opposite is true as well. If Djokovic regains his old edge, he’ll be the favorite to regain his No. 1 ranking.

Even if that does happen, it’s unlikely Murray will slip below No. 2. Over the course of his career, when he has been healthy, he has suffered very few prolonged dips. And while there is an ATP youth wave building, it seems unlikely to reach the tour’s highest ground in 2017.

That means Murray should have time to expand his horizons a little more this year. He has always performed well when he’s had a goal. For years it was winning Wimbledon; in 2015 it was winning the Davis Cup; last season it was finishing No. 1. What might motivate him in 2017? Last spring he watched from across the net as Djokovic won his first title at Roland Garros. What could be more satisfying for Murray, who loves proving people wrong, than to win a tournament no one has ever expected him to win?