Australian Open Best Bets: Take Ash Barty, at -3.5 games, over Kenin

All figures from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kenin has enjoyed a phenomenal run in Melbourne. She’s a tough out who never backs down. But when it comes to facing Barty, there’s simply a talent discrepancy. The Aussie is one of the most naturally gifted players in the game, and she’s playing for something much bigger than herself.

When locked in, Barty presents a Justine Henin-like challenge for opponents: like the Belgian great, Barty can beat you many different ways, and her touch and variety will always be superior to her opponents'.

Though Kenin hardly makes unforced errors, she does hit the same ball over and over again—very flat, and very deep. Barty should be able to quickly find a rhythm, and at -3.5 games, one break per set wins the bet. Kenin had zero aces against Ons Jabeur, so Barty should get plenty of returns in play.

Barty owns a 3-1 head to head record, and would have easily covered a -3.5 game spread in each victory. This time, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and the laser-focused Barty should have far too much game for the 21-year-old playing in her first major semifinal.