Australian Open Tip Sheet: Betting on Andy Murray vs. Roberto Bautista Agut

HIGHLIGHTS: Murray's marathon win over Kokkinakis

Day 6 of the Australian Open features stars like Novak Djokovic, Caroline Garcia and Aryna Sabalenka. But we’re looking in different directions for our money-making opportunities:

Linda Fruhvirtova vs. Marketa Vondrousova

Fruhvirtova has been one of the best stories of the tournament thus far, but the 17-year-old could run into some trouble here. Vondrousova is fresh off a massive win over No. 2 seed Ons Jabeur, and only seven WTA players on the WTA Tour have a higher three-month trending UTR ranking than the Czech. We expect her to follow that performance with a masterclass against her younger opponent. LEAN: Fruhvirtova To Not Win A Set (-120)

Andy Murray vs. Roberto Bautista Agut

It’s easy to write off Murray because of how hard he worked to beat Thanasi Kokkinakis. At some point in his third match, the legend’s legs will feel those hours of baseline grinding. But at least at the onset, expect Murray to play decent tennis—say, throughout the first two sets. If that’s the case, it’s hard to envision his meeting with Bautista Agut going Under a game total this low. This Over should hit as long as Murray doesn’t end up retiring. LEAN: Over 35.5 Games (-120)

Alexei Popyrin vs. Ben Shelton

We handicapped Shelton’s last match correctly, but still ended up losing. We figured he and Nicolas Jarry were destined to play some long sets, but Shelton ended up winning all of them. With Popryin another big server, look for this match to play out similarly. But Popryin should be able to take at least one set, allowing this one to easily go Over the game total. He could be a little tired after having played two five-setters, but he’s become a fan favorite, and the adrenaline from the crowd should allow him to do his part for Over bettors. BEST BET: Over 40.5 Games (-130)

Dan Evans vs. Andrey Rublev

The most likely outcome of this match is a win for Rublev, but the Russian was so shaky heading into the Australian Open that we aren’t ruling out an Evans upset. And, we love these odds. The Brit is fresh off a straight-set win over Jeremy Chardy, and his slice-heavy approach can make him difficult to play against. With Rublev being a mistake-prone player, he just might get rattled by his opponent’s obscure style. Not many players can take themselves out of matches as quickly as Rublev, so this is worthy of a very small dart throw. LEAN: Evans ML (+295 - half-unit)