As for Djokovic, he was off, and for a guy who had won seven straight against his opponent, he seemed surprisingly uncertain of his ability to make it eight. He was at Nadal’s mercy through the early going, and didn’t loosen up until he was down 1-5.
But any signs of energy from Djokovic were quickly deflated. In the first game of the second set, he made three loose forehand errors and was broken. After breaking back for 2-2, Djokovic lost the momentum again with a double fault and sent a makable backhand wide on break point. Each time you thought Djokovic was going to sink his teeth into this match, he let it go again.
But Djokovic being Djokovic, he made Nadal earn it. Down double match point at 4-5, he played his most focused tennis of the day to reach break point. There the two engaged in a vintage all-court rally that Nadal finally won with a flawlessly placed backhand drop shot. What would have happened if that dropper hadn’t been that good, and if Djokovic had broken for 5-5? All we know is that Rafa was sharp enough today to make it perfect.
I wrote last week that no matter how well Nadal was playing, he wouldn’t be the favorite to win the French Open until he had beaten Djokovic. Now he’s the favorite to make it an even 10 in Paris, the way he already has in Monte Carlo and Barcelona.
It’s fitting that the 50th match between Nadal and Djokovic would signal another shift in the balance of power between them. Their record stands at 26-24 in favor of the Serb, but this long-running battle is never over, or settled for long. Each inspires the other to find and make new adjustments.
Still, Djokovic won’t feel good about this loss. He could only summon his old confidence and consistency for short periods of time, and his determination to find a new coach sooner rather than later looks like the right move. Still, his play in the final game did give us a taste of the brilliant tennis we’re likely to see again from these two, possibly over the next few weeks in Rome and Paris.
If Djokovic can take some solace in the fact that he made Nadal work for it at the end, Rafa can be even happier with the way he responded. Djokovic forced Nadal to alter his tactics in new ways, and to make his backhand as strong as it has ever been. Rafa showed that, even as he’s about to turn 31, he can still rise to a new challenge.