Serena

Last week the men got down to business; this week the women join them—Serena Williams, Justine Henin, and Kim Clijsters make their U.S. debuts in Key Biscayne. Along with the top players come the early questions for 2007: Is the Williams’ surge a long-term proposition? Where’s Justine, mentally and physically, as the big events begin? Is Sharapova’s serve heading the way of fellow blond Russians Kournikova and Dementieva? Is Clijsters thinking tennis, or cake flavors? Should we keep watching Daniela Hantuchova—for her tennis, that is? Let’s see how it’s going to play out.

First Quarter

Look what we have here, right out of the gate: The top half of the top quarter alone is a pretty entertaining tournament in itself. Sharapova and Venus Williams are set to play in the third round, with the winner getting Serena. The winner of all that could face Nicole Vaidisova.

This is exceptionally difficult to call. Sharapova beat Venus here two years ago, then lost to her at Wimbledon in the last match they played. Serena had beaten Venus six straight times until Venus turned the tables in the last two matches they played, in 2005. And we all know what happened the last time Serena and Sharapova met. The problem for Serena is that she hasn’t played since, and her rust almost cost her in the early rounds Down Under. This time she may have to get past the big-hitting Lucie Safarova as she’s rounding back into form. Aside: Can you remember way back in 1999 here, when Venus and Serena first played a big final (Venus won 6-4 in the third)? They went on to dominate the sport, and then they didn’t. Maybe we’ll see them go at it on the same court again. Too bad it would be a fourth-rounder.

Semifinalist: Serena Williams

Second Quarter

This isn’t quite the letdown you might expect. We could, conceivably, see fourth-rounders between Svetlana Kuznetsova and Shahar Peer and Martina Hingis and Ana Ivanovic. Conceivably—Hingis and Ivanovic were both disappointing in Indian Wells. Kuznetsova, however, made her usual surprise run, reaching the final in IW, and she’s the defending champion in Key Biscayne.

Semifinalist: Svetlana Kuznetsova

Third Quarter

This section is bracketed (not that word!) by two athletic head cases (for different reasons), Jelena Jankovic and Kim Clijsters. Last week Jankovic looked like she had early-season burnout (she’s played a lot already), and Clijsters’ commitment has been dwindling by the day—she’s already planning to skip the French and U.S. Opens, so what could Key Biscayne possible mean? Between those two sits the stable, steady, low-key, backhand-belting Na Li. I’ll take her.

Semifinalist: Na Li

Fourth Quarter

Now we’ll find out how serious this whole Hantuchova thing is. She’s scheduled to face Henin in the fourth round. That will also give us a clue to where Henin sits at the moment. Even more than usual, it’s difficult to tell, as she’s been dealing with life without her husband while also playing some good tennis in Doha and Dubai. At the top of the quarter we could get a Nadia Petrova-Dinara Safina slugfest. Despite her injury last week, I’ll take Petrova in that one.

Semifinalist: Justine Henin