Still, the Big Bad Berd was correct in his prediction that the Czechs would build their win around Almagro. In a way, he was paying a compliment, in a Berdychian way, to Ferrer. He knew they wouldn’t build much against him.
Which leads me to my next way of understanding this tie...
As yet another stage in David Ferrer’s late-career maturation
The Czechs mostly got what they wanted from the court they put down in Prague. It hurt Spain’s doubles team, and the net-rushing Stepanek used it more effectively in the fifth rubber than Almagro. But the biggest and most surprising beneficiary of the surface was Spain’s No. 1, Ferrer. He took the opportunity to let loose with his ground strokes, and focus the energy he usually uses for grinding defense on attacking instead. Ferru moved faster than usual between points, and hit out with more confident abandon. He even dictated the rallies against Berdych. For any other country, he would be a true No. 1 and team anchor.
Because Novak Djokovic used his 2010 Davis Cup performance as a springboard to bigger things, we’re going to wonder each year whether someone can do it again. On Friday and Saturday, it appeared that Berdych was the likely candidate for 2013 break through. Until Ferrer shredded him in straights on Sunday, that is. So now we ask: Can Ferru use this weekend to boost his confidence at the majors going forward?
On the one hand, in beating Berdych and Stepanek, he didn’t do anything he hasn’t done before. And his team didn’t win, either. But if he can continue to play in the manner he did in Prague—with more depth, pace, and aggression—he can beat anyone. Ferrer looked like a member of the game’s elite this weekend.
And yet...
As evidence that Rafael Nadal is a pretty valuable part of the Armada
Ferrer is great in Davis Cup, but Nadal, at 20-1 for his career, is even better. He gets knocked for picking and choosing his ties, and for typically picking the ones played at home, on clay. And it’s true, he’s more of a closer than a regular, day-to-day member of Spain’s dynasty—they’ve won plenty of ties without him. At the same time, though, Rafa has won matches in three of the country’s last four final-round wins. And if he had been in Prague at full strength, Spain almost certainly would have won this one. He’s 13-3 against Berdych and 6-0 against Stepanek lifetime. And while he’s 0-1 against Lukas Rosol, I have my doubts that coach Jaroslav Navratil would have brought Rosol off the bench. If he had, I also have my doubts that Rosol could have made hell freeze over a second time in 2012.
As one more reason to give the Davis Cup champions a bye the following year—or at least enough time to get sober before they have to defend their title
On February 1, the Czech Republic will travel to Switzerland to play their first tie of the 2013 DC season. Perhaps Roger Federer will take heart from the Czechs’ win and believe that a two-man team—in his case, he and Stan Wawrinka—really can win the whole thing. But it’s unlikely he’ll play. It’s also possible that Stepanek or Berdych or both won’t play; they would be justified in taking a break after their years of service. Whoever shows up, the Czechs could easily lose. Shouldn’t, after 32 years, they have a chance to reign as Davis Cup champions for more than 10 weeks?
As one more reason to love Davis Cup