If you read our WTA Finals betting preview, you should be sitting pretty entering the final between Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek. We gave out Swiatek as our best bet to win, so you’d have her at +260 odds in this match. That means you can either sit back and hope the Pole wins with very favorable odds, or you can guarantee yourself a little money by betting the other side and taking Pegula as an underdog. However, we understand that some people are betting specifically on this match and didn’t get to jump on it early. If you’re doing that, I’d strongly suggest betting on Swiatek to cover a small game spread here.
Pegula deserves a ton of credit for what she has done this week. The American went unbeaten in group play, earning straight-set wins over Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari. Then, Pegula absolutely dominated Coco Gauff in the semifinals, earning a 6-2, 6-1 win in just over an hour. All throughout the week, Pegula’s power from both sides of the court has been on full display. And the American has also just stayed solid both mentally and physically, even though all the players in Cancun have expressed their displeasure with the tough conditions. The problem for Pegula is that Swiatek is back to looking a lot like the player that went 67-9 and won eight tournaments in 2022. That version of the Pole is the final boss of women’s tennis, and she happens to be playing with serious motivation here.