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Where to Watch

🖥️📱 Click here for live coverage on TennisChannel.com (United States only; start time approximately 12:10 p.m. ET on March 24)

The winner of this match will play either wild card Coleman Wong or lucky loser Adam Walton in the fourth round.

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MATCH POINT: Taylor Fritz survives Lorenzo Sonego test in Miami second round

Miami Open Match Preview

Fritz is 27 and Shapovalov 25, but there has always been a sense, at least to me, that they’ve measured themselves against each other. Despite being the younger of the two, the Canadian broke through earlier and won their first three meetings. Then Shapo had to watch as the American rose into the Top 10 at the same time that he was falling out of the Top 100. By 2023, after a lot of tight matches between the two, Fritz asserted his authority when he won both of their matches—one of which took place in Miami—in fairly routine, 6-4, 6-4 fashion.

Then, last month, an unseeded Shapovalov ambushed a top-seeded Fritz in Dallas, coming back from a set down to win in a deciding tiebreaker. That victory, Shapo said, gave him a jolt of confidence that took him all the way to his first 500-level title. By tournament’s end, he was playing some of the best tennis of his career. He stayed hot at the 500 in Acapulco, where he made the semis.

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Fritz, by contrast, has had a disappointing 2025 so far, but he did look better in his opening win over Lorenzo Sonego, and he should be motivated to get in a decent result before the clay slog begins.

These two both have top-tier serves and forehands. Shapovalov’s one-handed backhand can be more spectacular than Fritz’s two-hander, but it can also be less consistent, and it has always been a liability on the return. This will be a good test of both guys’ level as the Slam season starts. I’ll guess that Fritz’s consistency and motivation will win the day. Winner: FritzSteve Tignor

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Betting Odds

Fritz is a -235 moneyline favorite; Shapovalov is a +180 underdog.

To win the second set, Fritz is -210 and Shapovalov is +145.

(Odds from BetMGM as of 7:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 23.)

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