Grigor Dimitrov vs. (9) Richard Gasquet
Head-to-head: Gasquet leads 3-0
The one-handed backhand is alive and thriving, with Tommy Haas, Tommy Robredo and Stanislas Wawrinka all winning titles in recent weeks. Here, two more fluid one-handers square off in what should be a shotmaking showcase.
The first set could be critical—Dimitrov is 15-1 when winning the first set this year and 1-9 when losing it; Gasquet is 19-2 and 4-5, respectively—so playing with urgency at the outset will be vital. Look for Gasquet to try to corner Dimitrov in backhand exchanges, while the Bulgarian will want to impose his forehand and work the front court to exploit the Frenchman’s deep court positioning.
Dimitrov impressed in Madrid with an inspired upset of world No. 1 Novak Djokovic. I believe Dimitrov will be a Top 10 player some day, but he must get stronger and learn to play complete matches on a consistent basis. Gasquet has a good track record in Rome—he beat Andy Murray to reach the quarterfinals last year, and edged Roger Federer and Tomas Berdych in succession en route to the 2011 semifinals—and should be eager for a win after an opening-round exit in Madrid.
The Pick: Gasquet in three sets