(15) Nicolas Almagro vs. (24) Jerzy Janowicz
Head-to-head: Almagro leads 1-0
Grass has tripped up several high seeds this week, but these two dynamic servers could rip up the lawn in their second Grand Slam meeting of the season.
The 6'8" Janowicz can serve such sharp angles, it must feel as if he's hitting from the top of a flagpole. The 6'0" Almagro generates immense pace and spin off a relatively low toss that's tough to read: He leads the ATP in aces, is second (to Milos Raonic) in first-serve points won, and fourth (ahead of Janowicz) in break points saved. All signs indicate tiebreakers are inevitable—both arrived at SW19 with 9-10 tiebreak records in 2013.
I picked Janowicz to upset Almagro at the Australian Open in January, and the sometimes volatile Spaniard smacked 18 aces and did not face a break point in a 7-6 (3), 7-6 (4), 6-1 victory. You'd think I would have learned from that experience, but I'm going to back Janowicz in the upset again because I think the surface suits his game, he's played more matches on grass this season, and his wide wingspan may help him poke back a key return in a breaker.
The Pick: Janowicz in four sets